http://www.interest.com/mortgage/news/homes-are-truly-affordable-in-only-about-half-of-major-cities/
(text follows):
Homes are truly affordable in only about half of major
cities
by Reed Karaim on October 17, 2012
A median-income household can only afford a median-priced
home in 14 of the nation’s 25 largest metropolitan areas
Atlanta, Detroit and Minneapolis-St. Paul are the most
affordable cities, according to Interest.com’s first Home Affordability Study.
San Diego, New York and San Francisco are the least
affordable.
With home prices down an average of 30% from their peak in
2006, and mortgage rates at record lows, there’s a lot of talk about how homes
are more affordable now than they’ve been in decades.
In some places, that's true. But in many cities, it’s not.
Significant differences in median incomes, as well as
critical costs such as property taxes and homeowners insurance, play a big role
in determining whether the American dream of home ownership is truly within
reach.
“Despite all of the talk about how homes are more affordable
than they have been in decades, buying a home is still a big challenge for many
American households,” says Mike Sante, managing editor of Interest.com.
“Dealing with rising expenses and stagnant wages is a
struggle. Even after years of declining home prices and record-low mortgage
rates, median-income households are unable to afford a median-priced home in
nearly half of the metropolitan areas that we looked at.”
To get a clearer picture of how affordable housing really
is, we created Interest.com’s Home Affordability Study. (Click here to see theresults for all 25 cities.)
We wanted to know whether it was possible for a family
making the median household income for each city to buy the median-priced home.
We gathered city-specific data on everything from median
home prices and incomes, average property taxes and homeowners insurance
premiums, as well as consumer debt and mortgage rates, from the most reliable
sources we could find.
Data from the U.S. Census Bureau, National Association of
Realtors, National Association of Insurance Commissioners and Experian, one of
the three major credit reporting agencies, all contributed to the analysis.
We then used two of Interest.com’s online calculators to
determine how much a family earning the median income in each city could afford
to spend on a house and how much a family would have to earn to afford that
city’s median priced home.
To make the results easy to understand, each city received
an:
Affordability Grade, with a "C" indicating that
someone making the median income can afford the median-priced home.
Paycheck Power Rating, which is the percent the median
income exceeds or falls short of the income required for a median-priced home.
Cities With the Most Affordable Housing
City Affordability
Grade Paycheck Power Rating
Detroit A 45.32%
Atlanta A 40.00%
Minneapolis-St. Paul A- 32.20%
Phoenix B+ 23.67%
St. Louis B+ 23.49%
With all those factors taken into account, the Interest.com
study reveals a far more complicated picture than the simple “housing is a
bargain” view you’ll find in much of the media.
Atlanta, for example, sits atop our rankings largely by
virtue of its relatively low home prices. Its median sales price of $103,200 is
well below the average of $229,516 for the 25 largest cities.
“Atlanta has always been a deal as far as home prices go,”
says Mitch Kaminer, who’s sold real estate there for 18 years and is currently
president of the Atlanta Board of Realtors. “Labor is cheaper. Builders can
build houses a lot cheaper than they can in other parts of the country.”
Highest Income Cities
City Median Income
Washington, D.C. $86,680
San Francisco $71,975
Boston $69,455
Baltimore $65,463
Seattle $64,085
But Atlanta also benefits from having lower than average
property taxes and insurance costs, along with a slightly above average median
income.
All this means Atlanta earns an affordability grade of “A”
and the best Paycheck Power Rating in the study. Its median income exceeds the
income needed to buy a median-priced home by a whopping 40%.
Detroit is the other city to earn an “A,” but it represents
a special, and especially sad, case.
The city’s score comes from its rock-bottom average home
price of $60,200 — a number that reflects a vast supply of abandoned homes, as
many as 90,000 by some estimates.
Minneapolis-St. Paul, which earns a grade of "A-"
and a Paycheck Power Rating of 32%, illustrates how criteria other than the
home price can make a big difference in how accessible housing is in different
markets.
The Twin Cities' median home price is $70,000 more than
Atlanta’s, but the region’s median household income of $63,352 is roughly 20% higher,
too, which helps to compensate for the price disparity.
Lowest Home Prices
City Median Home Price
Detroit $60,200
Atlanta $103,200
St. Louis $131,700
Pittsburgh $132,000
Tampa $144,300
“We have a pretty good local economy,” says David Arbit,
research manager for the Minneapolis Area Association of Realtors, explaining
the city’s affluence. “We’ve got relatively low unemployment and a lot of
high-tech and finance jobs.”
Minneapolis also enjoys lower than average property taxes,
which can make a surprising difference when it comes to home affordability.
Home prices are just a little higher and income just a
little lower in Milwaukee than in Minneapolis. But the Wisconsin city’s
property taxes are nearly 47% higher.
Todd Berry, president of the Wisconsin Taxpayer Alliance,
says the higher tax rate reflects how local government has long been funded in
the state. “Ninety to 95% of all revenues comes from the property tax,” Berry
explains. “We have no local income tax and only a small local option sales
tax.”
As a result, Milwaukee earns a surprisingly low
affordability grade of D+.
Cities With the Least Affordable Housing
City Affordability Grade Paycheck Power Rating
San Francisco F 32.76%
New York F 29.71%
San Diego F 25.90%
Miami D- 12.59%
Los Angeles D- 12.52%
San Diego, San Francisco and New York, which all earn grades
of "F," illustrate the forces that have kept housing in some urban
centers out of the reach of most Americans, despite one of the biggest real
estate crashes in modern history.
All are on the coasts, naturally constrained by physical and
political boundaries, and all are largely “built out,” meaning there is little
room for expansion.
“We’re obviously a coastal city, and we’re a border city
and, in addition, to the north of us is (Marine) Camp Pendleton,” explains
Donna Sanfilippo, president of the San Diego Association of Realtors. “East is
the only way we can expand. Because of the constraints of our geography, we’ve pretty
much built on all of our land.”
Lowest Income Cities
City Median Income
Tampa $43,832
Miami $45,407
San Antonio $48,699
Pittsburgh $48,854
Detroit $48,968
The international nature of these cities also means they
attract wealthy real estate investors from outside the country. San Diego is a
popular retirement destination. These factors disconnect the local housing
market from the local incomes.
“We’re seeing a lot of cash deals — 27% of all multiple
listing service deals in our recent figures. Investors are coming back into the
market. We’re seeing foreign investment,” says Sanfilippo. “Right now, we have
the lowest amount of inventory on the market we’ve seen since 2009.”
San Francisco and New York both have household incomes above
the national average, but the bigger paychecks aren’t enough to compensate for
home prices that are among the highest in the country. San Francisco tops the
list with an average price of $552,600.
Homeowners are also burdened with significantly steeper
property taxes. New York’s taxes are more than three times the national
average.
In contrast, Washington, D.C., has home prices comparable to
New York’s, but the region’s greater prosperity — median household income is
the highest in the nation — and reasonable property taxes allow the D.C. metro
area to skate by with a gentleman’s "C+."
Highest Home Prices
City Median Home
Price
San Francisco $552,600
San Diego $379,100
New York $377,600
Washington, D.C. $367,000
Boston $362,100
In all cases with these failing students, the Paycheck Power
Rating is deeply in the red. In San Francisco, for example, the median income
leaves you nearly 33% percent short of the paycheck you would need to be able
to afford a median-priced home.
In San Diego, where average wages are lower, the Paycheck
Power Rating is nearly as bad at 26%.
“A lot of San Diego jobs are service jobs, related to
tourism, and those salaries are about $24,000 a year, and that obviously does
not support home ownership,” acknowledges Sanfilippo.
That's exactly what the Center for Housing Policy has found
in its studies.
"In many communities there is a fundamental disconnect
between the income families have and the costs of buying a home," says
Jeffrey Lubell, executive director of the Washington-based think tank.
"Falling house prices haven't solved the problem,"
Lubell says. "They've helped, but they haven't solved it."
Indeed, Lubell warns that with property values starting to
rise around much of the country, "if you can't afford a home now, it's not
going to get better. This is as good as it gets."
(Back to me)
This is interesting because we earn a C for housing (in the Houston area). We are relatively low on housing cost - as far as the actual housing price. But we are high on taxes and insurance (due to windstorm and flood insurance costs).
As we look at questions like this, one may be led to question traditionally held assumptions about owning a home. Is it more advantageous to own a home? What are the specific short and long term benefits from owning a home? Is it better to invest one's money in a place where the return is higher? After all, what if the rates of housing value increases are not what they've been in the past?
But this is interesting also because they factored in not just housing values/costs, but the median incomes of the various cities. It's an interesting connection. How much house could you buy if you lived someplace like San Francisco or San Diego? It's EXPENSIVE to own a home in San Francisco (half a MILLION dollars for the median home!). I would not be able to live there. I am not sure I would be able to find an apartment I could afford...
But this is interesting also because they factored in not just housing values/costs, but the median incomes of the various cities. It's an interesting connection. How much house could you buy if you lived someplace like San Francisco or San Diego? It's EXPENSIVE to own a home in San Francisco (half a MILLION dollars for the median home!). I would not be able to live there. I am not sure I would be able to find an apartment I could afford...
Good questions. Interesting discussion.